How PolyMarket Works
The world's most accurate prediction market. Use your knowledge to trade on the outcome of real-world events.
Select a Market
Explore our wide range of categories—from Politics and Crypto to Sports and Tech. Find a market where you have a strong opinion or unique insight.
The Price is the Probability
Prices range from 1¢ to 99¢. If a "Yes" share costs 58¢, the market believes there is a 58% chance of that event happening. You trade based on your own estimation.
Market Price
Place Your Trade
Buy shares in the outcome you believe in. Use our intuitive trading widget to select your amount and see your potential return instantly.
Resolution & Payout
When the event occurs, the market is resolved. If your outcome is correct, every share you own pays out exactly $1.00. Your earnings are added to your balance.
Per Winning Share
Ready to start trading?
Join thousands of traders predicting the future of events worldwide.